Study Market History. Identify Future Winners.

This site is about studying historical market leaders, breakouts, and trends – so you can recognize high-probability setups before they happen.

What you’ll find here:
• Historical studies of winning stocks and trends
• Breakout and trend-following chart analysis
• Risk management and position sizing principles
• Market psychology and pattern repetition

Latest Posts

Event Study: How to Read Abnormal Returns From News

A headline crosses the wire: a stock “jumped 4% after earnings.” It reads like a clean reaction, cause and effect in one line. Then you pull up the tape and...

Log Returns vs Simple Returns: What Traders Must Know

A stock closes up 10 percent on Monday and down 10 percent on Tuesday. Add the two moves and you get zero, so the week looks like a wash. The account says otherwise: a...

ZM +370%: the leader’s base breakout, February 2020

By mid-February 2020, Zoom Video Communications had spent almost a year grinding sideways after its IPO pop, and then it stopped grinding. On 18 February 2020 the stock...

Multiple Testing in Trading Research: When a Signal Lies

Picture a moving-average crossover you’re testing. You try fast lengths from 5 to 50, slow lengths from 20 to 200, three different exit rules, and four separate...

EH +265%: anatomy of a base breakout, November 2020

EHang, ticker EH, is back on traders’ screens this week. The Chinese eVTOL maker posted its second-quarter 2026 results on 25 August, per the company’s own...

Time Aggregation: Why the Chart Clock Changes What You See

Two traders pull up the same stock on the same day and come away describing two different markets. One calls it a quiet session, up a fraction, nothing worth a second...

Queue Priority: How Order Position Shapes Execution

Picture a bid at 50.00 showing 40,000 shares. You add a limit buy at that same price, then watch the prints roll by. Trades go off, the tape ticks, and the displayed size...

FUTU +1170%: a base breakout off the 2020 washout, May 2020

FUTU is back near the top of the day’s gainers, and that pulls a familiar chart out of the archive. Long before Futu Holdings was posting record quarters, the FUTU...

Effective Number of Holdings: A Concentration Check

A trader opens a brokerage statement and counts twenty tickers. Twenty names feels diversified. Then two of those positions have run so far that together they carry...

Order Flow Persistence: Reading Runs of Signed Flow

Watch a fast tape long enough and you’ll see it: a stream of prints that keep lifting the offer, one after another, twenty or thirty in a row, and not one of them...

AMR +1526%: the coal-cycle base breakout, December 2020

AMR is back among the day’s biggest gainers, which makes this a good moment to pull the chart that turned a forgotten coal miner into a textbook base breakout. In...

Information Coefficient: How to Judge a Ranking Model

Someone hands you a backtest. The headline reads: an information coefficient of 0.06, a smooth equity curve, and a claim that the model ranks stocks better than the...