Beta and Idiosyncratic Risk: Splitting Market and Stock

You close the week with a position down three percent, and there's a question worth asking before you touch anything: does the loss say something about your thesis, or did…

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Take-Profit Strategy: The Overlooked Half of Exits

You are up on a position. The chart has run your way for six sessions, the gain is real on the screen, and the only question left is where you…

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Read more about the article INCY +489%: a base breakout in the genomics mania, December 1999
INCY on the 1999-12-20 breakout entry, from my chart archive

INCY +489%: a base breakout in the genomics mania, December 1999

By late July 2026, INCY is back near the top of the day's gainers list as Incyte heads into its Q2 2026 earnings report, and that is reason enough to…

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Trading Around Macro Data Releases: Why the Chart Breaks

You're long a clean setup. Price has held a shelf for two sessions, the anchored VWAP off the low keeps rising, and order flow has leaned to the bid since…

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Read more about the article W +486%: the base breakout out of the COVID crash, April 2020
W on the 2020-04-03 breakout entry, from my chart archive

W +486%: the base breakout out of the COVID crash, April 2020

Wayfair (W) is trending again, sitting near the top of the day's gainers on 27 July 2026 as brokers hike their price targets into the company's 4 August earnings date…

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Trend Following Systems: Three Ways to Read a Trend

You pull up a chart of a stock that's clearly been climbing for months. The 50-day moving average sits comfortably above the 200-day, so your trend filter says long. Then…

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Bull Flag Pattern: How the Flagpole Defines the Setup

A stock runs 30% in six sessions, then goes quiet. The candles shrink, the volume dries up, and price drifts sideways for a week. Most traders read that stall as…

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Read more about the article VRSN +1848%: a base breakout that ran 467 days, December 1998
VRSN on the 1998-12-04 breakout entry, from my chart archive

VRSN +1848%: a base breakout that ran 467 days, December 1998

VRSN's back on traders' screens this week, popping onto Yahoo's gainers list after VeriSign's 23 July quarterly report and a raised full-year outlook. That's a fair excuse to pull the…

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Read more about the article WOLF +1876%: the silicon-carbide base breakout, October 1998
WOLF on the 1998-10-15 breakout entry, from my chart archive

WOLF +1876%: the silicon-carbide base breakout, October 1998

On 15 October 1998, a small silicon carbide chip maker closed at 4.12 and pushed above the shelf it had been building for the better part of a year. That…

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Variance Ratio: Is Your Market Trending or Reverting?

You've got a chart in front of you and a decision to make before you touch a single indicator: reach for a breakout tool that assumes the move keeps running,…

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