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Ralph Vince: The Mathematics of Position Sizing and Why Most Traders Get It Backwards

Most traders spend a disproportionate amount of time on entry signals and almost no time on the mathematical structure of how much to risk on each trade. Ralph Vince spent…

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May 11, 2026
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VIX-Regime Position Sizing – How Volatility State Changes Optimal Bet Size

Scale swing-trade position size to VIX regime. A Kelly-VIX hybrid framework that cuts drawdowns by adapting bet size to low, normal, and high volatility states.

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May 11, 2026
Masters

William O’Neil: CAN SLIM, the Cup With Handle, and the Risk Rules Behind the Method

What O'Neil understood about growth stocks was not that they were predictable, but that they shared recognisable patterns before their biggest moves. His research involved studying the price and volume…

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May 10, 2026
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Regime Factor Screening – Adapt Your Stock Filter to Market Conditions

How to adapt factor screens to market regimes so your momentum, value, and quality filters match the conditions you are actually trading in.

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May 9, 2026
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AlphaSharpe and LLM-Evolved Ranking Metrics – Why the Sharpe Ratio Fails at Stock Screening

Why the Sharpe ratio misleads stock screeners, what AlphaSharpe LLM-evolved ranking metrics fix, and how to test custom screening metrics without overfitting.

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May 7, 2026
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Correlation Breakdown Trading – Spot Failing Asset Links

How to detect and trade correlation breakdowns between assets. Covers rolling correlation z-scores, regime filters, pair selection, and swing trade setups.

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May 6, 2026
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Agentic AI Nowcasting – How LLM Agents Build Real-Time Factor Scores

How agentic LLM nowcasting scores Russell 1000 stocks daily, why alpha concentrates in the top 20, and practical limits for swing traders.

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May 5, 2026
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Multi-Factor Composite Screening for Swing Trade Candidates

How to build a multi-factor composite score from momentum, value, and quality percentile ranks to screen swing trade candidates and shrink your watchlist.

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May 4, 2026
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X-Trend and Few-Shot Regime Detection – Adapting Trend Signals Without Retraining

How the X-Trend model uses few-shot learning to adapt trend-following signals to new market regimes without retraining from scratch.

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May 3, 2026
Learn

Range Expansion Index – DeMark’s False Breakout Filter

Use the Range Expansion Index to confirm genuine breakouts and filter false moves. Covers the REI formula, real examples, and practical pairing strategies.

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May 2, 2026
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Recent Posts

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About Trends and Breakouts

This site is about studying historical market leaders, breakouts, and trends — so you can recognize high-probability setups before they happen.
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Educational content only. Not investment advice. Trading involves risk. You are responsible for your decisions.
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